Chad Yard vs Flavio Moura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record19-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight187 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamGracie Fusion
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449
If they win+23→ 1508
If they lose-25→ 1460
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1688 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard72%
Flavio Moura 28%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 72% favorite over Flavio Moura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Flavio Moura's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1485), separated by just 13 points.
Flavio Moura 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.