Chad Yard vs Justin Hawes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record7-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight199 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamDesert Dogs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1495
If they lose-25→ 1447
If they win+17→ 1475
If they lose-15→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1483 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chad YardJustin Hawes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard66%
Justin Hawes 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 66% favorite over Justin Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1458), separated by just 14 points.
Justin Hawes 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.