Chad Yard vs Matheus Scheffel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight262 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamCM System
What's at stake
Matheus Scheffel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chad Yard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1526
If they lose-22→ 1478
If they win+11→ 1535
If they lose-13→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
TBDPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chad Yard60%
Matheus Scheffel 40%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 60% favorite over Matheus Scheffel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matheus Scheffel's way (47%).
Matheus Scheffel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1500, a 24-point edge.
Matheus Scheffel enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Matheus Scheffel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.