Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Yard vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-0-0HeavyweightPFL

1500Provisional

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
75"Reach-
223 lbsWeight240 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad YardNow 1500
If they win+25→ 1525
If they lose-23→ 1477
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

TBDPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter71%
Chad Yard 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 71% favorite over Chad Yard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1509), separated by just 9 points.

Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.