Combat Edge Intelligence

Chad Yard vs Thaddeus Luster

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Chad Yard
bb

Chad Yard

“Kid Dangerous”

0-1-0HeavyweightPFL

1472Average

Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
223 lbsWeight200 lbs
Fight FactoryTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chad YardNow 1472
If they win+24→ 1496
If they lose-24→ 1448
Thaddeus LusterNow 1470
If they win+24→ 1494
If they lose-24→ 1446

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Combat Edge model read

Chad Yard70%
Thaddeus Luster 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chad Yard a 70% favorite over Thaddeus Luster in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1472 vs 1470), separated by just 2 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.