Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlene Gellner vs Haidy Ahmed

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

1-4-0Record3-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
TBDReach-
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Bay Area Fight AcademyTeamTiger Team

What's at stake

Haidy Ahmed is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Charlene Gellner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charlene GellnerNow 1419
If they win+29→ 1448
If they lose-19→ 1400
Haidy AhmedNow 1493
If they win+19→ 1512
If they lose-29→ 1464

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Charlene GellnerHaidy Ahmed
1400145015002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
1 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Haidy Ahmed70%
Charlene Gellner 30%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Haidy Ahmed a 70% favorite over Charlene Gellner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Haidy Ahmed holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1493 to 1419, a 74-point edge.

Haidy Ahmed 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.