Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Kohler vs Drew Fickett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Drew Fickett
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Drew Fickett

“Night Rider”

43-22-0LightweightSFP

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

8-4-1Record43-22-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
165 lbsWeight151 lbs
San Diego Fight ClubTeamTeam Scrub

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie KohlerNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
Drew FickettNow 1557
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.45
33%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
47%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
1.42
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
0%
Takedown defense
31%
4.04
Submission avg.
1.90

Trajectory

Charlie KohlerDrew Fickett
150015501600200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (9%)
5 (63%)
Submission
31 (72%)
1 (13%)
Decision
8 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Kohler70%
Drew Fickett 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Kohler a 70% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1557), separated by just 4 points.

Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Charlie Kohler finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Drew Fickett 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.