Combat Edge Intelligence

Chelsea Hackett vs Ramana Toscanelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-1Record5-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
66"Reach-
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Potential Unlimited Mixed Martial ArtsTeamBonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chelsea HackettNow 1560
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
Ramana ToscanelliNow 1558
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.58
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
51%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
57%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chelsea HackettRamana Toscanelli
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (20%)
Submission
4 (80%)
3 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chelsea Hackett67%
Ramana Toscanelli 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chelsea Hackett a 67% favorite over Ramana Toscanelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1558), separated by just 2 points.

Ramana Toscanelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chelsea Hackett finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ramana Toscanelli 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.