Combat Edge Intelligence

Cheyanne Bowers vs Ernesta Kareckaite

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record6-2-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
66"Reach 71"
132 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Edge AcademyTeamFighters Land

What's at stake

Cheyanne Bowers is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ernesta Kareckaite carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cheyanne BowersNow 1597
If they win+15→ 1612
If they lose-17→ 1580
Ernesta KareckaiteNow 1582
If they win+25→ 1607
If they lose-23→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.38
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.09
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.67
TBD
Takedown accuracy
67%
TBD
Takedown defense
83%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cheyanne BowersErnesta Kareckaite
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
5 (71%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cheyanne Bowers and Ernesta Kareckaite within a point of even.

Cheyanne Bowers holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1582, a 15-point edge.

Cheyanne Bowers finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ernesta Kareckaite 33%.

Ernesta Kareckaite carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.