Chris Brown vs Ricardo Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
74.00"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamRenzo Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris BrownRicardo Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ricardo Almeida61%
Chris Brown 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ricardo Almeida a 61% favorite over Chris Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Brown's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1603), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Brown finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Almeida 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.