Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Daukaus vs Jeremy Kimball

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-8-0Record19-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76"Reach41,0"
205 lbsWeight213 lbs
Team BalanceTeamTeam Wildman Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris DaukausNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Jeremy KimballNow 1614
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.05
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.84
55%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
1.41
0%
Takedown accuracy
20%
100%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris DaukausJeremy Kimball
160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
14 (74%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (5%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Kimball56%
Chris Daukaus 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Kimball a 56% favorite over Chris Daukaus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1614), separated by just 3 points.

Chris Daukaus enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Chris Daukaus finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Kimball 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.