Chris Drumm vs Kyohei Hagiwara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach71.1"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team Wildman Vale TudoTeamTeam Smoker
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1480
If they lose-23→ 1432
If they win+15→ 1481
If they lose-17→ 1449
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris DrummKyohei Hagiwara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyohei Hagiwara66%
Chris Drumm 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Hagiwara a 66% favorite over Chris Drumm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1455 vs 1466), separated by just 11 points.
Chris Drumm enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.