Chris Kelades vs Paddy Holohan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record12-2-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
38.00Reach39.00
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fit PlusTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Paddy Holohan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Chris Kelades carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1524
If they lose-20→ 1476
If they win+20→ 1571
If they lose-28→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris KeladesPaddy Holohan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paddy Holohan71%
Chris Kelades 29%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Holohan a 71% favorite over Chris Kelades in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Paddy Holohan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1551 to 1496, a 55-point edge.
Chris Kelades enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Kelades finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Holohan 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.