Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Mecate vs Eldar Munapov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-3-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70" Reach-
150 lbsWeight137 lbs
Miura BJJTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1684 avg Elo · 22 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris MecateNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Eldar MunapovNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Chris MecateEldar Munapov
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
2 (15%)
Submission
6 (60%)
7 (54%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Mecate51%
Eldar Munapov 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mecate a 51% favorite over Eldar Munapov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Eldar Munapov enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Chris Mecate finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Eldar Munapov 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.