Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Sanford vs Julian Marquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Julian Marquez
us

Julian Marquez

“The Cuban Missile Crisis”

9-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1576Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record9-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris SanfordNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Julian MarquezNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.23
Sig. strikes / min
4.85
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.06
18%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
53%
3.45
Submission avg.
2.57

Trajectory

Chris SanfordJulian Marquez
1550160016502004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
4 (80%)
Submission
3 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Sanford53%
Julian Marquez 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Sanford a 53% favorite over Julian Marquez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Julian Marquez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1576), separated by just 3 points.

Julian Marquez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chris Sanford finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Julian Marquez 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.