Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Echols vs Matt Horwich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record30-25-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
66"ReachTBD
190 lbsWeight186 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian EcholsNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Matt HorwichNow 1566
If they win+12→ 1578
If they lose-12→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Christian EcholsMatt Horwich
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (20%)
6 (75%)
Submission
21 (70%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Horwich55%
Christian Echols 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Horwich a 55% favorite over Christian Echols in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christian Echols's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1566), separated by just 2 points.

Matt Horwich enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Christian Echols finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Matt Horwich 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.