Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Wellisch vs Trevor Makengo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record2-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
234 lbsWeight239 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamC-MAC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian WellischNow 1538
If they win+16→ 1554
If they lose-16→ 1522
Trevor MakengoNow 1531
If they win+24→ 1555
If they lose-24→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.12
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
28%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
1.22
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
45%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.22
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Christian WellischTrevor Makengo
15001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
3 (38%)
Submission
1 (50%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Trevor Makengo60%
Christian Wellisch 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Makengo a 60% favorite over Christian Wellisch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christian Wellisch's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1538 vs 1531), separated by just 7 points.

Christian Wellisch finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.