Combat Edge Intelligence

Christopher Collins vs Johnny Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-1-0Record1-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height5'10"
-Reach-
205 lbsWeight195 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1638 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Christopher Collins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Johnny Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christopher CollinsNow 1524
If they win+23→ 1547
If they lose-25→ 1499
Johnny SantosNow 1506
If they win+25→ 1531
If they lose-23→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
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Strike defense
TBD
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Takedown avg.
TBD
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
TBD
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Christopher CollinsJohnny Santos
150020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Santos51%
Christopher Collins 49%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Santos a 51% favorite over Christopher Collins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christopher Collins's way (47%).

Christopher Collins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1506, a 18-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.