Combat Edge Intelligence

Chuck O'Neil vs Kendly St. Louis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chuck O'Neil
us

Chuck O'Neil

“Cold Steel”

17-9-0MiddleweightCES

1602Solid

Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach77”
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Mass BJJTeamAmerican Top Team Sunrise

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chuck O'NeilNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590
Kendly St. LouisNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
72%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chuck O'NeilKendly St. Louis
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
6 (35%)
Submission
5 (45%)
5 (29%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Kendly St. Louis63%
Chuck O'Neil 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kendly St. Louis a 63% favorite over Chuck O'Neil in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Kendly St. Louis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chuck O'Neil finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Kendly St. Louis 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.