Combat Edge Intelligence

Ciaran Clarke vs Cody Garbrandt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record15-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
66"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ciaran ClarkeNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Cody GarbrandtNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.85
TBD
Takedown accuracy
23%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ciaran ClarkeCody Garbrandt
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
11 (73%)
5 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ciaran Clarke and Cody Garbrandt within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1671), separated by just 2 points.

Ciaran Clarke finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Cody Garbrandt 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.