Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Durden vs Tumelo Manyamala

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
us

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-11-1FlyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

18-11-1Record8-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
67"Reach70.5"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamPride Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody DurdenNow 1625
If they win+12→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1613
Tumelo ManyamalaNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
3.99
Takedown avg.
TBD
10%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.65
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cody DurdenTumelo Manyamala
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
6 (33%)
Submission
1 (13%)
6 (33%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Tumelo Manyamala63%
Cody Durden 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tumelo Manyamala a 63% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.

Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tumelo Manyamala 88%.

Tumelo Manyamala carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.