AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Colby Thicknesse vs Mehroj Mamadshoev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record9-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height6'0"
69"Reach-
125 lbsWeight137 lbs
Freestyle Fighting Gym· 1729 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Colby ThicknesseNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Mehroj MamadshoevNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
9%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.50
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Colby ThicknesseMehroj Mamadshoev
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (11%)
5 (56%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Colby Thicknesse52%
Mehroj Mamadshoev 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Colby Thicknesse a 52% favorite over Mehroj Mamadshoev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mehroj Mamadshoev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Colby Thicknesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mehroj Mamadshoev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Colby Thicknesse finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Mehroj Mamadshoev 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.