Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Province vs Gegam Manavazyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight147 lbs
TeamBastion Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cole ProvinceNow 1557
If they win+24→ 1581
If they lose-24→ 1533
Gegam ManavazyanNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.47
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
43%
Strike defense
Not available
2.40
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
83%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.96
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cole ProvinceGegam Manavazyan
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
5 (83%)
Submission
2 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Gegam Manavazyan54%
Cole Province 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gegam Manavazyan a 54% favorite over Cole Province in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1559), separated by just 2 points.

Cole Province enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gegam Manavazyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cole Province finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gegam Manavazyan 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.