Combat Edge Intelligence

Colley Bradford vs Kyohei Hagiwara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record9-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'10"
TBDReach71.1"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Charles Combat ClubTeamTeam Smoker

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Colley BradfordNow 1469
If they win+24→ 1493
If they lose-24→ 1445
Kyohei HagiwaraNow 1466
If they win+16→ 1482
If they lose-16→ 1450

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1472 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Colley BradfordKyohei Hagiwara
1450150020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyohei Hagiwara62%
Colley Bradford 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyohei Hagiwara a 62% favorite over Colley Bradford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Colley Bradford's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1469 vs 1466), separated by just 3 points.

Kyohei Hagiwara enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyohei Hagiwara 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.