Combat Edge Intelligence

Colley Bradford vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-1-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Charles Combat ClubTeamLigorio Top Team

What's at stake

Lorenzo de Nigris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Colley Bradford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Colley BradfordNow 1469
If they win+26→ 1495
If they lose-22→ 1447
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+22→ 1523
If they lose-26→ 1475

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1472 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Colley BradfordLorenzo de Nigris
14501500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris66%
Colley Bradford 34%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 66% favorite over Colley Bradford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Lorenzo de Nigris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1469, a 32-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.