Combat Edge Intelligence

Colton Loud vs Erfan Ahangarian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record6-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach68"
126 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Colton LoudNow 1621
If they win+24→ 1645
If they lose-24→ 1597
Erfan AhangarianNow 1616
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1489 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1490 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Colton LoudErfan Ahangarian
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Erfan Ahangarian67%
Colton Loud 33%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Erfan Ahangarian a 67% favorite over Colton Loud in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Colton Loud's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1621 vs 1616), separated by just 5 points.

Colton Loud enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Erfan Ahangarian enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Colton Loud finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Erfan Ahangarian 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.