Combat Edge Intelligence

Connor Cyphert vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Relson Gracie Combat Club (powered by SPIRE)TeamW Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Connor CyphertNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Connor CyphertRômulo Oliveira
155016002026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (14%)
1 (50%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rômulo Oliveira53%
Connor Cyphert 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rômulo Oliveira a 53% favorite over Connor Cyphert in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Connor Cyphert's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.

Connor Cyphert enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.