Combat Edge Intelligence

Connor Matthews vs Wily Pereira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Lakeville MMA & FitnessTeamCombat Time

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Connor MatthewsNow 1560
If they win+16→ 1576
If they lose-16→ 1544
Wily PereiraNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.08
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
3.46
Takedown avg.
TBD
56%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.69
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Connor MatthewsWily Pereira
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (17%)
5 (71%)
Submission
7 (58%)
1 (14%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Wily Pereira83%
Connor Matthews 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wily Pereira a 83% favorite over Connor Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.

Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Connor Matthews finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Wily Pereira 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.