Corey Anderson vs Patrick Cummins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-6-0Record10-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
The Kennel Fight ClubTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Corey Anderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Patrick Cummins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1793
If they lose-18→ 1769
If they win+24→ 1626
If they lose-8→ 1594
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Corey AndersonPatrick Cummins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Corey Anderson84%
Patrick Cummins 16%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Corey Anderson a 84% favorite over Patrick Cummins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Corey Anderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1602, a 185-point edge.
Corey Anderson enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Patrick Cummins enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Corey Anderson finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cummins 60%.
Corey Anderson and Patrick Cummins share 1 common opponent: Jan Błachowicz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.