Combat Edge Intelligence

Cornel Thompson vs David Bielkheden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record26-13-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cornel ThompsonNow 1632
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
David BielkhedenNow 1633
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.11
TBD
Strike accuracy
57%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.65
TBD
Takedown accuracy
64%
TBD
Takedown defense
14%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cornel ThompsonDavid Bielkheden
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
12 (46%)
1 (9%)
Submission
4 (15%)
9 (82%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Cornel Thompson70%
David Bielkheden 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cornel Thompson a 70% favorite over David Bielkheden in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Bielkheden's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1633), separated by just 1 points.

Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cornel Thompson finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, David Bielkheden 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.