Combat Edge Intelligence

Cornel Thompson vs James Llontop

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
68"Reach73″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
TBDTeamTeam FFC

What's at stake

Cornel Thompson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — James Llontop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cornel ThompsonNow 1632
If they win+15→ 1647
If they lose-17→ 1615
James LlontopNow 1615
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-15→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cornel ThompsonJames Llontop
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (7%)
9 (82%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cornel Thompson and James Llontop within a point of even.

Cornel Thompson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1615, a 17-point edge.

Cornel Thompson enters on a 5-fight win streak.

James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cornel Thompson finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 57%.

James Llontop carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.