Combat Edge Intelligence

Courtney Turner vs Ebrahem Mahmoud

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-3-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach75''
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamDiesel Fighting Academy

What's at stake

Ebrahem Mahmoud is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Courtney Turner carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Courtney TurnerNow 1434
If they win+27→ 1461
If they lose-21→ 1413
Ebrahem MahmoudNow 1471
If they win+21→ 1492
If they lose-27→ 1444

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

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Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Courtney TurnerEbrahem Mahmoud
145019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Combat Edge model read

Ebrahem Mahmoud70%
Courtney Turner 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 70% favorite over Courtney Turner in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Ebrahem Mahmoud holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1471 to 1434, a 37-point edge.

Courtney Turner enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.