Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Pérez vs Jay Jay Wilson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristian PérezNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Jay Jay WilsonNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Cristian PérezJay Jay Wilson
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
6 (40%)
Submission
4 (33%)
3 (20%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jay Jay Wilson59%
Cristian Pérez 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jay Jay Wilson a 59% favorite over Cristian Pérez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cristian Pérez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1703), separated by just 1 points.

Cristian Pérez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cristian Pérez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Jay Jay Wilson 75%.

Jay Jay Wilson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.