Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristian Pérez vs Magomed Mustafaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record14-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Victory Fight Club· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristian PérezNow 1704
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Magomed MustafaevNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
Not available
Strike accuracy
59%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
Not available
Strike defense
41%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.31
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
23%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.41

Trajectory

Cristian PérezMagomed Mustafaev
17002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
6 (40%)
Submission
4 (29%)
3 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cristian Pérez56%
Magomed Mustafaev 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cristian Pérez a 56% favorite over Magomed Mustafaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Mustafaev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1705), separated by just 1 points.

Cristian Pérez enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cristian Pérez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Mustafaev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.