Combat Edge Intelligence

Cristiano Oliveira vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record6-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach-
150 lbsWeight156 lbs
Portugal Top TeamTeamblooM

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cristiano OliveiraNow 1474
If they win+24→ 1498
If they lose-24→ 1450
Taisei MizusugiNow 1471
If they win+16→ 1487
If they lose-16→ 1455

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cristiano OliveiraTaisei Mizusugi
140014501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (50%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi70%
Cristiano Oliveira 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 70% favorite over Cristiano Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cristiano Oliveira's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1474 vs 1471), separated by just 3 points.

Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.