Crosley Gracie vs Johnny Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
180 lbsWeight195 lbs
Crosley Gracie BJJTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1650 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1557
If they lose-24→ 1509
If they win+24→ 1562
If they lose-24→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Crosley GracieJohnny Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Santos57%
Crosley Gracie 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Santos a 57% favorite over Crosley Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1533 vs 1538), separated by just 5 points.
Crosley Gracie enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Johnny Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.