Combat Edge Intelligence

Dakota Bush vs Mikuru Asakura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record20-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
The Smith PitTeamJapan Top Team· 1658 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dakota BushNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Mikuru AsakuraNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
39%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
42%
Strike defense
Not available
2.40
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dakota BushMikuru Asakura
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
10 (50%)
6 (35%)
Submission
1 (5%)
8 (47%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Mikuru Asakura54%
Dakota Bush 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mikuru Asakura a 54% favorite over Dakota Bush in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dakota Bush's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1705), separated by just 2 points.

Dakota Bush enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Dakota Bush finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Mikuru Asakura 55%.

Dakota Bush carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.