Combat Edge Intelligence

Dale Hartt vs Melvin Guillard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Melvin Guillard
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Melvin Guillard

“The Young Assassin”

32-22-2WelterweightUCL

1521Average

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record32-22-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team SityodtongTeamGenesis Training Center

What's at stake

Melvin Guillard is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dale Hartt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dale HarttNow 1505
If they win+25→ 1530
If they lose-23→ 1482
Melvin GuillardNow 1521
If they win+11→ 1532
If they lose-13→ 1508

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.14
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
35%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.85
66%
Strike defense
66%
1.22
Takedown avg.
1.30
100%
Takedown accuracy
64%
25%
Takedown defense
61%
2.45
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Dale HarttMelvin Guillard
15001550160020092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
21 (66%)
2 (33%)
Submission
2 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Melvin Guillard53%
Dale Hartt 47%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Melvin Guillard a 53% favorite over Dale Hartt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Melvin Guillard holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1521 to 1505, a 16-point edge.

Dale Hartt enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Melvin Guillard enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Dale Hartt finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Melvin Guillard 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.