Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Janikowski vs Maiquel Falcao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record39-21-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight202 lbs
NemesisTeamRasthai Temple

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian JanikowskiNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Maiquel FalcaoNow 1528
If they win+12→ 1540
If they lose-12→ 1516

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
56%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.53
TBD
Strike defense
87%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
3

Trajectory

Damian JanikowskiMaiquel Falcao
15001550160020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
27 (69%)
2 (18%)
Submission
5 (13%)
4 (36%)
Decision
7 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Janikowski70%
Maiquel Falcao 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Janikowski a 70% favorite over Maiquel Falcao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maiquel Falcao's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1528), separated by just 7 points.

Maiquel Falcao enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Damian Janikowski finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Maiquel Falcao 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.