Combat Edge Intelligence

Damiano Scogna vs Keith Keogh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-2-1Record4-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Aurora MMA· 1582 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamC-MAC· 1578 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damiano ScognaNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Keith KeoghNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Damiano ScognaKeith Keogh
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (57%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
3 (43%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Damiano Scogna57%
Keith Keogh 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damiano Scogna a 57% favorite over Keith Keogh in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Keith Keogh enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Damiano Scogna finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Keith Keogh 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.