Damon Donald vs Garrett Gross
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record12-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Aberdeen Combat CentreTeamSabens Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
If they win+16→ 1534
If they lose-16→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Damon DonaldGarrett Gross
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damon Donald52%
Garrett Gross 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Damon Donald a 52% favorite over Garrett Gross in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1518), separated by just 5 points.
Damon Donald finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Garrett Gross 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.