Combat Edge Intelligence

Damon Jackson vs Josh Thomson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record22-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight153 lbs
Fortis MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1640 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damon JacksonNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Josh ThomsonNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.96
Sig. strikes / min
2.59
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.12
49%
Strike defense
64%
2.30
Takedown avg.
1.92
33%
Takedown accuracy
40%
38%
Takedown defense
55%
1.20
Submission avg.
1.34

Trajectory

Damon JacksonJosh Thomson
17002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
15 (65%)
Submission
9 (41%)
4 (17%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Damon Jackson57%
Josh Thomson 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damon Jackson a 57% favorite over Josh Thomson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1683), separated by just 0 points.

Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damon Jackson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Josh Thomson 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.