Combat Edge Intelligence

Damon Jackson vs Yamato Nishikawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record21-5-6
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamNishikawa Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damon JacksonNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671
Yamato NishikawaNow 1682
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.96
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
49%
Strike defense
Not available
2.30
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
38%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.20
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Damon JacksonYamato Nishikawa
165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
15 (65%)
Submission
4 (19%)
4 (17%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Damon Jackson56%
Yamato Nishikawa 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damon Jackson a 56% favorite over Yamato Nishikawa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.

Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Yamato Nishikawa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damon Jackson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Yamato Nishikawa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.