Dan Argueta vs Nick Aguirre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'9"
68"Reach74,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Dan Argueta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Nick Aguirre carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1643
If they lose-19→ 1611
If they win+19→ 1593
If they lose-13→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaNick Aguirre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Argueta51%
Nick Aguirre 49%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Argueta a 51% favorite over Nick Aguirre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Dan Argueta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1574, a 56-point edge.
Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Nick Aguirre 100%.
Nick Aguirre carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.