Dan Argueta vs Scott Jorgensen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record15-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
68"Reach37.00
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTwisted Genetiks
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1657
If they lose-17→ 1625
If they win+17→ 1645
If they lose-15→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaScott Jorgensen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Scott Jorgensen53%
Dan Argueta 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Scott Jorgensen a 53% favorite over Dan Argueta in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Argueta's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1628), separated by just 14 points.
Dan Argueta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Scott Jorgensen 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.