Dan Barrera vs Ebrahem Mahmoud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach75''
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamDiesel Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-25→ 1458
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud68%
Dan Barrera 32%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 68% favorite over Dan Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Barrera's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1471), separated by just 12 points.
Dan Barrera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.