Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Barrera vs Leandro Camargo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight5'7"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
TBDTeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan BarreraNow 1483
If they win+24→ 1507
If they lose-24→ 1459
Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+16→ 1505
If they lose-16→ 1473

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
71%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
28%
Strike defense
TBD
1
Takedown avg.
TBD
8%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dan BarreraLeandro Camargo
150015502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
1 (33%)
Submission
6 (86%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo69%
Dan Barrera 31%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 69% favorite over Dan Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1489), separated by just 6 points.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Barrera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Camargo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.