Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Cramer vs Theodor Berggren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Cramer
us

Dan Cramer

“Cosmo”

11-4-0MiddleweightBFC

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight167 lbs
American Top TeamTeamRenyi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan CramerNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Theodor BerggrenNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.97
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
32%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
67%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.50
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dan CramerTheodor Berggren
1550160020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (38%)
9 (82%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Theodor Berggren66%
Dan Cramer 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Theodor Berggren a 66% favorite over Dan Cramer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1589), separated by just 2 points.

Dan Cramer finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Theodor Berggren 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.