Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Holt vs Kiefer Crosbie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Holt
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Dan Holt

“The Villain”

4-1-0WelterweightCFFC

1566Solid

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach70"
160 lbsWeight170 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan HoltNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Kiefer CrosbieNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.69
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Dan HoltKiefer Crosbie
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (50%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dan Holt and Kiefer Crosbie within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1568), separated by just 2 points.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Holt finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.

Dan Holt carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.