Combat Edge Intelligence

Daniel Araújo vs Dean Garnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record15-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
69"Reach64"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Bonfim Brothers· 1594 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam McHale

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Daniel AraújoNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Dean GarnettNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Daniel AraújoDean Garnett
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (40%)
2 (22%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dean Garnett55%
Daniel Araújo 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dean Garnett a 55% favorite over Daniel Araújo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Daniel Araújo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1637), separated by just 2 points.

Daniel Araújo finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Dean Garnett 67%.

Daniel Araújo carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.